Quantcha now offering unlimited commission-free options trading. Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Call Spread trade opportunity for AERCAP HOLDINGS NV (AER) for the 15-Jan-2021 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine. AER was recently trading at $40.81 and has an implied volatility of 63.35% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for AER expiring on 15-Jan-2021, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $40.82-$50.77 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 57.67%. Big 7.58% Change: After closing the last trading session at $37.94, AERCAP HOLDINGS NV opened today at $38.25 and has reached a high of $40.98. Trade approach: A movement as big as 7.58% is a significantly bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if AER maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $40.81 on 15-Jan-2021. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit. Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if AERCAP HOLDINGS NV closes at or above $40.55 on 15-Jan-2021. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 51.22% likelihood of this return. Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment. To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.